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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.79+1.60vs Predicted
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2Cornell University2.43-0.06vs Predicted
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3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.76+1.18vs Predicted
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4Syracuse University0.28+0.96vs Predicted
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5Cornell University0.69-0.70vs Predicted
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6Rochester Institute of Technology-0.41-0.02vs Predicted
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7University of Pittsburgh0.14-1.79vs Predicted
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8University of Rochester-1.05-1.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.6Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.790.3%1st Place
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1.94Cornell University2.430.5%1st Place
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4.18U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.760.1%1st Place
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4.96Syracuse University0.280.0%1st Place
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4.3Cornell University0.690.1%1st Place
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5.98Rochester Institute of Technology-0.410.0%1st Place
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5.21University of Pittsburgh0.140.0%1st Place
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6.83University of Rochester-1.050.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blake Stackpoole | 25.5% | 28.6% | 22.2% | 12.3% | 7.4% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Meredith Moran | 45.5% | 28.6% | 15.6% | 7.2% | 2.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Modin | 8.3% | 11.2% | 17.6% | 19.1% | 18.4% | 14.9% | 7.5% | 3.0% |
| Chris Trentham | 4.5% | 7.8% | 11.0% | 16.3% | 17.0% | 18.6% | 17.2% | 7.6% |
| Ben Rizika | 7.6% | 10.4% | 16.8% | 18.6% | 19.1% | 14.7% | 9.7% | 3.1% |
| Lauren Manney | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 10.1% | 12.8% | 16.6% | 24.0% | 25.3% |
| Stanley Galloway | 4.4% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 13.1% | 17.4% | 20.4% | 18.0% | 11.1% |
| Eric Elias | 1.1% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 11.4% | 22.6% | 49.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.