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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.79+1.60vs Predicted
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2Cornell University2.43-0.05vs Predicted
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3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.76+1.17vs Predicted
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4Cornell University0.69+0.30vs Predicted
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5Syracuse University0.28-0.04vs Predicted
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6University of Rochester-1.05+0.82vs Predicted
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7University of Pittsburgh0.14-1.76vs Predicted
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8Rochester Institute of Technology-0.41-2.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.6Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.790.3%1st Place
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1.95Cornell University2.430.5%1st Place
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4.17U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.760.1%1st Place
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4.3Cornell University0.690.1%1st Place
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4.96Syracuse University0.280.1%1st Place
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6.82University of Rochester-1.050.0%1st Place
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5.24University of Pittsburgh0.140.0%1st Place
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5.96Rochester Institute of Technology-0.410.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blake Stackpoole | 25.1% | 29.4% | 21.0% | 13.8% | 6.8% | 3.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Meredith Moran | 45.7% | 28.0% | 15.5% | 8.0% | 2.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Modin | 8.5% | 11.0% | 17.7% | 20.1% | 17.1% | 13.9% | 9.0% | 2.7% |
| Ben Rizika | 7.9% | 11.2% | 15.6% | 19.3% | 17.6% | 14.9% | 10.1% | 3.4% |
| Chris Trentham | 5.1% | 6.7% | 11.7% | 15.4% | 18.3% | 18.3% | 16.9% | 7.6% |
| Eric Elias | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 7.9% | 12.4% | 18.4% | 51.4% |
| Stanley Galloway | 4.2% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 12.5% | 16.0% | 19.5% | 17.8% | 13.1% |
| Lauren Manney | 2.1% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 13.8% | 17.7% | 27.0% | 21.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.