← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Connecticut College2.93+3.18vs Predicted
-
2Boston College2.16+4.08vs Predicted
-
3Bowdoin College2.41+2.60vs Predicted
-
4Tufts University2.91+0.31vs Predicted
-
5Boston University2.28+1.10vs Predicted
-
6Harvard University1.48+2.41vs Predicted
-
7University of Vermont2.04-0.60vs Predicted
-
8Amherst College0.92+1.77vs Predicted
-
9Boston University1.84-1.72vs Predicted
-
10Bowdoin College1.62-2.05vs Predicted
-
11Bates College0.09+0.77vs Predicted
-
12Maine Maritime Academy0.39-0.90vs Predicted
-
13Northeastern University0.18-1.52vs Predicted
-
14Boston University2.74-9.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.18Connecticut College2.930.2%1st Place
-
6.08Boston College2.160.1%1st Place
-
5.6Bowdoin College2.410.1%1st Place
-
4.31Tufts University2.910.2%1st Place
-
6.1Boston University2.280.1%1st Place
-
8.41Harvard University1.480.0%1st Place
-
6.4University of Vermont2.040.1%1st Place
-
9.77Amherst College0.920.0%1st Place
-
7.28Boston University1.840.1%1st Place
-
7.95Bowdoin College1.620.0%1st Place
-
11.77Bates College0.090.0%1st Place
-
11.1Maine Maritime Academy0.390.0%1st Place
-
11.48Northeastern University0.180.0%1st Place
-
4.57Boston University2.740.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gabriel Salk | 16.8% | 17.3% | 13.9% | 13.4% | 9.9% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Gestal | 7.1% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 9.1% | 11.1% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Sarah Fiske | 10.3% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% |
| Andrew Meleny | 15.9% | 14.9% | 14.6% | 12.6% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 7.7% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Paul Perry | 6.3% | 8.6% | 10.8% | 10.6% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Ames Lyman | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 12.0% | 13.1% | 10.9% | 6.5% | 2.6% |
| Laura Cuccio | 8.0% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 6.2% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 0.1% |
| Nick Belsito | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 14.9% | 14.7% | 15.6% | 10.0% |
| Joseph Ballow | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 12.0% | 10.7% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 2.5% | 1.1% |
| Benjmain Berg | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 12.9% | 11.6% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 1.9% |
| Alexander Francis | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 8.0% | 14.2% | 24.4% | 31.8% |
| Benjamin King | 1.0% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 10.7% | 18.3% | 18.5% | 22.8% |
| Moussa Diolombi | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 16.2% | 21.6% | 28.9% |
| Elizabeth Glivinski | 16.0% | 12.3% | 12.4% | 13.0% | 12.4% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 5.0% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.