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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1SUNY Maritime College0.49+3.75vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.54+1.31vs Predicted
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3Cornell University2.20-0.62vs Predicted
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4Fordham University1.00+0.13vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania2.11-2.45vs Predicted
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6SUNY Stony Brook-0.12-0.29vs Predicted
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7U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.20-1.84vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.75SUNY Maritime College0.490.1%1st Place
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3.31Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.540.2%1st Place
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2.38Cornell University2.200.3%1st Place
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4.13Fordham University1.000.1%1st Place
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2.55University of Pennsylvania2.110.3%1st Place
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5.71SUNY Stony Brook-0.120.0%1st Place
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5.16U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.200.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clara Guarascio | 6.3% | 7.6% | 11.0% | 15.1% | 18.2% | 23.0% | 18.8% |
| Camille McGriff | 15.7% | 19.9% | 19.0% | 21.1% | 15.0% | 6.3% | 3.0% |
| Brooke Shachoy | 33.9% | 24.7% | 20.8% | 12.6% | 6.2% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Caroline Sandoval | 8.3% | 11.6% | 15.4% | 19.3% | 22.1% | 15.5% | 7.8% |
| Amanda Majernik | 28.9% | 26.8% | 20.1% | 12.9% | 8.0% | 2.4% | 0.9% |
| Kristin Hess | 2.8% | 2.8% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 13.8% | 22.8% | 43.9% |
| Sunrae Sturmer | 4.1% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 10.9% | 16.7% | 28.6% | 25.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.