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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.20+1.40vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.54+1.26vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania2.11-0.51vs Predicted
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4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.20+1.32vs Predicted
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5SUNY Maritime College0.49-0.13vs Predicted
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6Fordham University1.00-1.88vs Predicted
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7SUNY Stony Brook-0.12-1.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.4Cornell University2.200.3%1st Place
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3.26Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.540.2%1st Place
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2.49University of Pennsylvania2.110.3%1st Place
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5.32U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.200.0%1st Place
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4.87SUNY Maritime College0.490.1%1st Place
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4.12Fordham University1.000.1%1st Place
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5.54SUNY Stony Brook-0.120.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brooke Shachoy | 33.3% | 26.9% | 19.0% | 11.6% | 6.6% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| Camille McGriff | 15.9% | 19.3% | 21.5% | 20.6% | 13.4% | 7.1% | 2.2% |
| Amanda Majernik | 29.8% | 26.8% | 21.3% | 12.6% | 6.5% | 2.5% | 0.5% |
| Sunrae Sturmer | 3.4% | 4.5% | 7.4% | 11.9% | 16.7% | 26.2% | 29.9% |
| Clara Guarascio | 5.4% | 6.5% | 9.6% | 13.5% | 23.0% | 22.9% | 19.1% |
| Caroline Sandoval | 8.9% | 11.3% | 15.7% | 20.0% | 19.2% | 17.4% | 7.5% |
| Kristin Hess | 3.3% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 9.8% | 14.6% | 22.0% | 40.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.