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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania2.11+1.50vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.54+1.30vs Predicted
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3SUNY Maritime College0.49+1.87vs Predicted
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4Fordham University1.00+0.08vs Predicted
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5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.20+0.28vs Predicted
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6SUNY Stony Brook-0.12-0.35vs Predicted
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7Cornell University2.20-4.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.5University of Pennsylvania2.110.3%1st Place
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3.3Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.540.1%1st Place
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4.87SUNY Maritime College0.490.1%1st Place
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4.08Fordham University1.000.1%1st Place
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5.28U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.200.0%1st Place
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5.65SUNY Stony Brook-0.120.0%1st Place
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2.32Cornell University2.200.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amanda Majernik | 30.5% | 26.2% | 18.5% | 15.7% | 6.3% | 2.0% | 0.8% |
| Camille McGriff | 14.2% | 19.6% | 24.1% | 18.2% | 14.1% | 7.6% | 2.2% |
| Clara Guarascio | 5.7% | 6.3% | 9.1% | 15.1% | 20.8% | 24.4% | 18.6% |
| Caroline Sandoval | 9.0% | 11.3% | 15.9% | 19.3% | 21.9% | 15.8% | 6.8% |
| Sunrae Sturmer | 3.1% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 11.4% | 17.4% | 25.3% | 29.5% |
| Kristin Hess | 2.7% | 3.4% | 5.9% | 8.8% | 14.3% | 23.2% | 41.7% |
| Brooke Shachoy | 34.8% | 27.2% | 19.2% | 11.5% | 5.2% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.