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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fordham University1.00+3.05vs Predicted
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2SUNY Maritime College0.49+2.83vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.54+0.29vs Predicted
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4Cornell University2.20-1.56vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania2.11-2.45vs Predicted
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6U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.20-0.70vs Predicted
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7SUNY Stony Brook-0.12-1.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.05Fordham University1.000.1%1st Place
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4.83SUNY Maritime College0.490.1%1st Place
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3.29Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.540.2%1st Place
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2.44Cornell University2.200.3%1st Place
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2.55University of Pennsylvania2.110.3%1st Place
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5.3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.200.0%1st Place
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5.55SUNY Stony Brook-0.120.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caroline Sandoval | 10.6% | 12.5% | 13.1% | 20.0% | 20.9% | 14.9% | 8.0% |
| Clara Guarascio | 5.4% | 6.8% | 10.5% | 12.4% | 24.0% | 23.2% | 17.7% |
| Camille McGriff | 15.9% | 18.7% | 21.3% | 20.4% | 14.8% | 6.2% | 2.7% |
| Brooke Shachoy | 32.2% | 25.5% | 19.4% | 14.9% | 6.1% | 1.3% | 0.6% |
| Amanda Majernik | 28.3% | 27.2% | 21.6% | 12.1% | 6.4% | 3.8% | 0.6% |
| Sunrae Sturmer | 4.0% | 4.5% | 7.1% | 11.9% | 16.2% | 27.3% | 29.0% |
| Kristin Hess | 3.6% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 11.6% | 23.3% | 41.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.