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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania2.11+1.51vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.54+1.28vs Predicted
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3Cornell University2.20-0.60vs Predicted
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4SUNY Maritime College0.49+0.93vs Predicted
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5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.20+0.30vs Predicted
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6SUNY Stony Brook-0.12-0.35vs Predicted
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7Fordham University1.00-3.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.51University of Pennsylvania2.110.3%1st Place
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3.28Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.540.2%1st Place
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2.4Cornell University2.200.3%1st Place
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4.93SUNY Maritime College0.490.0%1st Place
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5.3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.200.0%1st Place
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5.65SUNY Stony Brook-0.120.0%1st Place
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3.93Fordham University1.000.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amanda Majernik | 29.9% | 27.2% | 19.6% | 12.2% | 7.9% | 2.5% | 0.7% |
| Camille McGriff | 15.4% | 18.6% | 23.6% | 19.2% | 13.5% | 7.4% | 2.3% |
| Brooke Shachoy | 32.1% | 26.4% | 21.1% | 13.0% | 4.7% | 2.3% | 0.4% |
| Clara Guarascio | 4.1% | 6.9% | 10.3% | 12.9% | 21.3% | 25.8% | 18.7% |
| Sunrae Sturmer | 4.0% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 10.5% | 18.1% | 24.7% | 30.7% |
| Kristin Hess | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 10.9% | 13.2% | 23.4% | 41.8% |
| Caroline Sandoval | 11.5% | 11.7% | 14.9% | 21.3% | 21.3% | 13.9% | 5.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.