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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.20+1.42vs Predicted
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2SUNY Maritime College0.49+2.86vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.54+0.28vs Predicted
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4Fordham University1.00+0.08vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania2.11-2.46vs Predicted
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6SUNY Stony Brook-0.12-0.29vs Predicted
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7U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.20-1.90vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.42Cornell University2.200.3%1st Place
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4.86SUNY Maritime College0.490.1%1st Place
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3.28Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.540.1%1st Place
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4.08Fordham University1.000.1%1st Place
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2.54University of Pennsylvania2.110.3%1st Place
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5.71SUNY Stony Brook-0.120.0%1st Place
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5.1U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.200.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brooke Shachoy | 32.7% | 26.3% | 19.0% | 12.8% | 6.8% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| Clara Guarascio | 5.8% | 6.1% | 9.2% | 15.1% | 21.4% | 23.6% | 18.8% |
| Camille McGriff | 15.0% | 18.7% | 23.8% | 19.6% | 13.9% | 6.5% | 2.5% |
| Caroline Sandoval | 9.2% | 12.0% | 15.5% | 19.7% | 19.5% | 16.2% | 7.9% |
| Amanda Majernik | 28.8% | 27.4% | 19.6% | 14.2% | 6.3% | 2.7% | 1.0% |
| Kristin Hess | 3.3% | 2.7% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 14.8% | 21.3% | 44.7% |
| Sunrae Sturmer | 5.2% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 10.7% | 17.3% | 27.9% | 24.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.