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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1SUNY Maritime College0.49+3.77vs Predicted
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2Cornell University2.20+0.38vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.54+0.29vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania2.11-1.46vs Predicted
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5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.20+0.33vs Predicted
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6SUNY Stony Brook-0.12-0.31vs Predicted
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7Fordham University1.00-2.99vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.77SUNY Maritime College0.490.1%1st Place
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2.38Cornell University2.200.3%1st Place
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3.29Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.540.2%1st Place
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2.54University of Pennsylvania2.110.3%1st Place
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5.33U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.200.0%1st Place
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5.69SUNY Stony Brook-0.120.0%1st Place
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4.01Fordham University1.000.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clara Guarascio | 6.4% | 7.0% | 11.6% | 13.1% | 20.6% | 23.2% | 18.1% |
| Brooke Shachoy | 31.9% | 29.4% | 18.6% | 12.0% | 5.4% | 2.2% | 0.5% |
| Camille McGriff | 15.7% | 18.6% | 22.4% | 19.7% | 14.1% | 7.1% | 2.4% |
| Amanda Majernik | 28.8% | 26.7% | 20.0% | 13.0% | 9.3% | 2.1% | 0.1% |
| Sunrae Sturmer | 3.6% | 4.2% | 7.4% | 12.2% | 14.8% | 28.4% | 29.4% |
| Kristin Hess | 2.9% | 2.9% | 5.2% | 10.0% | 13.9% | 20.9% | 44.2% |
| Caroline Sandoval | 10.7% | 11.2% | 14.8% | 20.0% | 21.9% | 16.1% | 5.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.