← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Pennsylvania2.11+1.53vs Predicted
-
2SUNY Maritime College0.49+2.83vs Predicted
-
3Fordham University1.00+1.10vs Predicted
-
4Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.54-0.69vs Predicted
-
5Cornell University2.20-2.56vs Predicted
-
6U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.20-0.74vs Predicted
-
7SUNY Stony Brook-0.12-1.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.53University of Pennsylvania2.110.3%1st Place
-
4.83SUNY Maritime College0.490.1%1st Place
-
4.1Fordham University1.000.1%1st Place
-
3.31Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.540.2%1st Place
-
2.44Cornell University2.200.3%1st Place
-
5.26U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.200.0%1st Place
-
5.53SUNY Stony Brook-0.120.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amanda Majernik | 29.6% | 26.9% | 19.9% | 12.4% | 7.6% | 2.6% | 1.0% |
| Clara Guarascio | 5.7% | 5.6% | 10.9% | 15.0% | 21.6% | 23.2% | 18.0% |
| Caroline Sandoval | 9.1% | 11.2% | 16.0% | 19.1% | 21.6% | 15.1% | 7.9% |
| Camille McGriff | 16.4% | 17.6% | 21.5% | 20.6% | 13.6% | 7.7% | 2.6% |
| Brooke Shachoy | 31.3% | 28.8% | 17.8% | 13.0% | 5.7% | 2.8% | 0.6% |
| Sunrae Sturmer | 4.2% | 4.6% | 7.6% | 11.8% | 16.9% | 26.1% | 28.8% |
| Kristin Hess | 3.7% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 13.0% | 22.5% | 41.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.