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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.54+2.26vs Predicted
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2SUNY Maritime College0.49+2.82vs Predicted
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3Cornell University2.20-0.60vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania2.11-1.46vs Predicted
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5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.20+0.29vs Predicted
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6Fordham University1.00-1.85vs Predicted
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7SUNY Stony Brook-0.12-1.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.26Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.540.2%1st Place
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4.82SUNY Maritime College0.490.1%1st Place
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2.4Cornell University2.200.3%1st Place
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2.54University of Pennsylvania2.110.3%1st Place
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5.29U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.200.0%1st Place
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4.15Fordham University1.000.1%1st Place
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5.54SUNY Stony Brook-0.120.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Camille McGriff | 18.4% | 18.9% | 18.3% | 20.3% | 13.4% | 8.3% | 2.4% |
| Clara Guarascio | 5.4% | 6.6% | 10.3% | 14.7% | 22.2% | 22.6% | 18.2% |
| Brooke Shachoy | 29.9% | 30.6% | 20.6% | 9.9% | 6.7% | 2.1% | 0.2% |
| Amanda Majernik | 30.4% | 23.2% | 21.1% | 15.2% | 7.7% | 2.1% | 0.3% |
| Sunrae Sturmer | 3.6% | 4.9% | 7.7% | 11.5% | 16.5% | 26.2% | 29.6% |
| Caroline Sandoval | 8.5% | 11.1% | 14.8% | 21.4% | 19.8% | 15.8% | 8.6% |
| Kristin Hess | 3.8% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 13.7% | 22.9% | 40.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.