Race 1A

mt-hope-bay-invite

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

53.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
George Higham 12.7% 11.5% 11.5% 11.4% 10.8% 10.4% 10.1% 8.5% 6.3% 4.3% 2.3% 0.1% 0.1%
Connor Sheridan 11.9% 12.0% 11.8% 11.2% 13.0% 8.9% 7.7% 9.9% 7.2% 4.3% 1.9% 0.2% 0.0%
Michael Pinto 9.7% 10.9% 11.8% 12.6% 8.3% 12.1% 10.8% 8.5% 6.9% 5.7% 2.1% 0.6% 0.0%
Miles Williams 13.3% 10.7% 11.3% 13.2% 10.6% 9.6% 10.1% 7.2% 7.5% 4.8% 1.2% 0.5% 0.0%
Emma Snead 13.7% 13.8% 10.8% 11.9% 9.6% 10.5% 9.6% 7.7% 5.7% 4.8% 1.7% 0.2% 0.0%
Chase Reynolds 8.8% 9.8% 9.7% 10.5% 9.3% 11.0% 9.7% 8.9% 9.5% 7.6% 4.5% 0.7% 0.0%
Grant Adam 9.5% 7.9% 9.7% 7.2% 9.7% 9.1% 11.3% 9.4% 11.4% 8.4% 5.0% 1.2% 0.2%
Peter Cronin 8.2% 10.3% 9.4% 8.1% 10.1% 10.1% 10.1% 11.8% 9.7% 8.2% 3.3% 0.7% 0.0%
Luke Quine 3.8% 4.4% 4.0% 5.3% 6.1% 4.9% 6.8% 9.3% 12.0% 19.3% 16.6% 6.4% 1.1%
Luke Hosek 6.4% 6.5% 7.2% 6.5% 8.8% 10.0% 8.6% 10.5% 11.2% 12.9% 7.7% 3.3% 0.4%
Will Rudaz 0.5% 0.4% 0.6% 0.4% 0.7% 0.7% 1.7% 2.0% 3.3% 5.7% 13.9% 35.8% 34.3%
Nick Ferrara 0.2% 0.7% 0.3% 0.4% 0.7% 0.7% 1.0% 1.7% 2.0% 3.9% 12.1% 24.2% 52.1%
Harry Stevenson 1.3% 1.1% 1.9% 1.3% 2.3% 2.0% 2.5% 4.6% 7.3% 10.1% 27.7% 26.1% 11.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.