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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.91+3.25vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College2.93+2.12vs Predicted
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3Boston University2.28+2.93vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College1.62+3.91vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College2.41+0.73vs Predicted
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6Boston University1.84+1.33vs Predicted
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7Boston College2.16-0.99vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont2.04-1.40vs Predicted
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9Amherst College0.92+0.90vs Predicted
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10Bates College0.09+1.78vs Predicted
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11Maine Maritime Academy0.39+0.14vs Predicted
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12Harvard University1.48-3.71vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University0.18-1.57vs Predicted
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14Boston University2.74-9.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.25Tufts University2.910.2%1st Place
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4.12Connecticut College2.930.2%1st Place
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5.93Boston University2.280.1%1st Place
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7.91Bowdoin College1.620.0%1st Place
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5.73Bowdoin College2.410.1%1st Place
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7.33Boston University1.840.1%1st Place
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6.01Boston College2.160.1%1st Place
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6.6University of Vermont2.040.1%1st Place
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9.9Amherst College0.920.0%1st Place
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11.78Bates College0.090.0%1st Place
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11.14Maine Maritime Academy0.390.0%1st Place
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8.29Harvard University1.480.0%1st Place
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11.43Northeastern University0.180.0%1st Place
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4.59Boston University2.740.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Meleny | 17.3% | 15.4% | 15.9% | 11.5% | 9.1% | 10.9% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Gabriel Salk | 17.3% | 16.1% | 15.1% | 12.8% | 11.3% | 9.1% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Paul Perry | 8.2% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Benjmain Berg | 3.4% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 11.7% | 10.6% | 8.3% | 5.4% | 2.0% |
| Sarah Fiske | 8.4% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 10.8% | 9.9% | 11.3% | 10.7% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Ballow | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 10.9% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 7.3% | 2.9% | 0.8% |
| Alexander Gestal | 8.8% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 11.0% | 9.5% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 2.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Laura Cuccio | 6.7% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 10.6% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
| Nick Belsito | 2.9% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 12.6% | 12.6% | 16.6% | 14.7% | 8.9% |
| Alexander Francis | 1.3% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 8.9% | 14.5% | 22.3% | 33.4% |
| Benjamin King | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 10.7% | 16.1% | 21.1% | 22.3% |
| Ames Lyman | 3.9% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 11.2% | 11.1% | 11.6% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 2.6% |
| Moussa Diolombi | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 10.0% | 13.9% | 21.6% | 29.0% |
| Elizabeth Glivinski | 14.1% | 14.6% | 12.3% | 11.9% | 12.2% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.