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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Salve Regina University0.97+1.53vs Predicted
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2University of Connecticut-1.96+2.91vs Predicted
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3University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.52+0.43vs Predicted
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4Brown University0.45-1.63vs Predicted
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5Brown University0.38-2.52vs Predicted
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6University of New Hampshire-2.40-0.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.53Salve Regina University0.9725.7%1st Place
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4.91University of Connecticut-1.963.2%1st Place
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3.43University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.5211.8%1st Place
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2.37Brown University0.4530.3%1st Place
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2.48Brown University0.3826.9%1st Place
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5.28University of New Hampshire-2.402.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olivia Lowthian | 25.7% | 25.4% | 25.5% | 17.3% | 5.3% | 0.8% |
| Jack Sullivan | 3.2% | 3.4% | 5.8% | 10.9% | 39.6% | 37.0% |
| Marshall Rodes | 11.8% | 15.2% | 17.0% | 34.2% | 18.5% | 3.4% |
| Quinn Brighton | 30.3% | 27.1% | 23.2% | 14.8% | 4.2% | 0.4% |
| Charles Case | 26.9% | 26.6% | 25.1% | 15.2% | 5.9% | 0.4% |
| Devon Valenta | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 7.6% | 26.5% | 58.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.