Race 3A

mt-hope-bay-invite

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

69.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
George Higham 12.5% 10.4% 12.1% 11.4% 10.5% 9.4% 9.5% 8.7% 6.9% 4.7% 2.6% 1.2% 0.1%
Michael Pinto 10.2% 11.9% 9.7% 10.7% 11.9% 9.5% 8.7% 9.0% 8.2% 6.5% 2.5% 1.0% 0.2%
Emma Snead 12.3% 11.7% 13.2% 10.9% 10.1% 10.3% 10.9% 7.4% 6.2% 3.7% 2.7% 0.5% 0.1%
Connor Sheridan 12.2% 11.1% 11.9% 12.2% 9.9% 9.4% 9.4% 8.0% 7.6% 4.6% 2.7% 0.8% 0.2%
Grant Adam 8.3% 8.8% 8.4% 9.6% 8.3% 9.0% 8.7% 10.9% 8.8% 9.7% 7.4% 1.8% 0.3%
Peter Cronin 8.6% 8.5% 10.1% 9.5% 9.1% 10.6% 10.1% 8.5% 8.9% 7.3% 6.6% 2.0% 0.2%
Chase Reynolds 10.7% 9.0% 9.1% 8.9% 8.8% 9.6% 10.0% 9.4% 8.9% 8.5% 5.0% 1.9% 0.2%
Luke Hosek 5.9% 8.3% 5.9% 5.2% 7.5% 8.8% 11.0% 9.8% 11.4% 11.2% 9.5% 5.0% 0.5%
Miles Williams 11.9% 12.4% 11.2% 11.1% 11.4% 9.3% 7.8% 8.1% 7.6% 5.5% 2.8% 0.7% 0.2%
Harry Stevenson 1.1% 1.5% 2.1% 2.4% 2.4% 1.6% 2.5% 4.4% 5.0% 8.9% 14.2% 35.0% 18.9%
James Sullivan 2.3% 2.1% 2.2% 3.8% 3.0% 4.9% 4.5% 7.2% 8.4% 12.6% 20.6% 20.8% 7.6%
Luke Quine 3.6% 3.7% 4.0% 3.9% 6.2% 6.5% 6.1% 7.8% 10.1% 14.0% 18.4% 12.9% 2.8%
Nick Ferrara 0.4% 0.6% 0.1% 0.4% 0.9% 1.1% 0.8% 0.8% 2.0% 2.8% 5.0% 16.4% 68.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.