Race 6A

mt-hope-bay-invite

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Michael Pinto 11.4% 11.3% 11.6% 11.1% 9.5% 10.3% 9.2% 10.0% 8.5% 3.4% 2.7% 0.9% 0.1%
George Higham 12.6% 11.6% 10.7% 13.3% 10.5% 8.7% 10.5% 7.6% 6.8% 5.6% 1.8% 0.2% 0.1%
Miles Williams 12.1% 12.1% 11.8% 9.9% 10.7% 11.0% 11.9% 7.7% 6.5% 4.7% 1.5% 0.1% 0.0%
Luke Quine 2.9% 4.0% 4.5% 4.7% 6.1% 7.3% 6.3% 8.8% 12.6% 18.5% 16.0% 6.9% 1.4%
Grant Adam 8.8% 8.1% 9.4% 8.9% 9.0% 9.0% 10.3% 11.0% 10.6% 9.6% 4.0% 1.1% 0.2%
Luke Hosek 6.9% 6.8% 6.5% 7.9% 9.0% 9.1% 8.0% 11.5% 11.1% 12.4% 8.3% 2.3% 0.2%
Emma Snead 14.0% 12.2% 13.1% 11.6% 11.2% 9.4% 8.6% 7.2% 6.3% 4.2% 1.9% 0.3% 0.0%
Connor Sheridan 12.9% 12.4% 11.7% 10.1% 11.5% 11.1% 10.2% 7.4% 6.8% 3.7% 1.7% 0.5% 0.0%
Peter Cronin 8.5% 9.6% 9.6% 9.3% 8.0% 9.6% 11.5% 9.6% 9.1% 8.4% 5.5% 1.1% 0.2%
Harry Stevenson 0.9% 2.4% 1.9% 1.6% 2.6% 3.0% 2.1% 4.7% 6.0% 11.5% 28.1% 24.5% 10.7%
Nick Ferrara 0.5% 0.3% 0.2% 0.4% 0.7% 0.3% 1.4% 1.6% 2.1% 5.1% 12.1% 29.2% 46.1%
Will Rudaz 0.6% 0.5% 0.3% 0.8% 1.2% 1.2% 1.2% 1.5% 2.5% 5.2% 12.4% 31.9% 40.7%
Chase Reynolds 7.9% 8.7% 8.7% 10.4% 10.0% 10.0% 8.8% 11.4% 11.1% 7.7% 4.0% 1.0% 0.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.