Race 8A

mt-hope-bay-invite

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Chase Reynolds 8.8% 8.5% 10.1% 9.9% 9.7% 8.9% 10.9% 9.5% 11.5% 7.4% 3.9% 0.7% 0.2%
Michael Pinto 11.4% 10.7% 11.2% 10.8% 10.9% 10.1% 8.7% 9.3% 7.5% 6.4% 2.1% 0.9% 0.0%
Peter Cronin 7.5% 8.8% 10.3% 9.2% 9.5% 10.2% 10.4% 11.5% 9.7% 7.8% 4.2% 0.8% 0.1%
George Higham 13.0% 11.4% 11.8% 10.6% 10.6% 10.5% 9.1% 8.6% 7.9% 4.5% 1.6% 0.4% 0.0%
Connor Sheridan 13.5% 12.7% 11.6% 11.0% 9.6% 10.2% 10.1% 8.5% 6.1% 4.8% 1.5% 0.4% 0.0%
Grant Adam 8.6% 8.9% 7.7% 9.6% 8.5% 9.7% 10.9% 9.2% 10.3% 9.1% 6.2% 1.1% 0.2%
Miles Williams 13.5% 12.2% 10.3% 11.7% 11.7% 10.9% 8.1% 7.8% 7.2% 4.7% 1.7% 0.1% 0.1%
Emma Snead 12.1% 12.0% 13.3% 10.7% 12.1% 11.2% 9.8% 7.5% 5.5% 3.9% 1.6% 0.3% 0.0%
Luke Quine 3.7% 4.9% 4.1% 4.1% 5.6% 6.1% 5.8% 9.8% 12.9% 18.3% 17.3% 6.1% 1.3%
Harry Stevenson 1.0% 1.9% 1.8% 2.4% 2.6% 2.4% 3.1% 3.5% 5.9% 12.7% 28.3% 24.0% 10.4%
Luke Hosek 6.0% 7.0% 7.2% 8.4% 7.5% 8.4% 10.9% 12.0% 10.7% 12.2% 7.2% 2.3% 0.2%
Nick Ferrara 0.2% 0.7% 0.3% 0.7% 0.5% 0.5% 1.3% 1.2% 2.7% 3.4% 10.0% 29.8% 48.7%
Will Rudaz 0.7% 0.3% 0.3% 0.9% 1.2% 0.9% 0.9% 1.6% 2.1% 4.8% 14.4% 33.1% 38.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.