Race 9A

mt-hope-bay-invite

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Grant Adam 8.3% 7.5% 9.4% 9.9% 7.9% 9.6% 9.6% 11.3% 11.7% 8.2% 5.7% 0.7% 0.2%
Chase Reynolds 8.8% 9.7% 8.3% 8.9% 12.1% 9.1% 9.0% 10.9% 9.4% 8.1% 4.1% 1.3% 0.3%
Emma Snead 12.0% 12.9% 12.3% 10.3% 11.7% 10.0% 11.5% 6.7% 6.1% 4.7% 1.6% 0.2% 0.0%
Michael Pinto 11.6% 9.9% 12.2% 10.9% 10.0% 10.2% 9.8% 9.0% 7.9% 5.5% 2.4% 0.6% 0.0%
Miles Williams 13.4% 12.7% 11.3% 11.1% 9.8% 9.7% 10.4% 7.8% 6.8% 5.2% 1.4% 0.4% 0.0%
Luke Hosek 6.5% 6.9% 7.4% 7.3% 7.7% 8.2% 10.3% 11.6% 10.7% 11.8% 9.0% 2.4% 0.2%
George Higham 13.8% 11.8% 10.2% 11.6% 10.9% 10.5% 7.8% 9.1% 7.0% 5.0% 2.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Peter Cronin 8.7% 9.6% 9.1% 8.7% 9.3% 11.3% 11.2% 10.4% 8.7% 9.0% 3.1% 0.8% 0.1%
Connor Sheridan 11.6% 12.2% 12.1% 11.5% 11.2% 10.0% 8.0% 8.1% 8.1% 5.1% 1.8% 0.3% 0.0%
Harry Stevenson 1.1% 1.6% 2.5% 2.1% 2.5% 2.2% 2.8% 3.9% 6.2% 11.3% 28.7% 24.7% 10.4%
Luke Quine 3.4% 4.1% 4.6% 6.2% 5.4% 7.3% 7.7% 8.1% 12.8% 17.2% 16.5% 5.5% 1.2%
Nick Ferrara 0.2% 0.6% 0.3% 0.7% 0.6% 0.7% 0.9% 1.8% 2.0% 3.9% 10.0% 29.6% 48.7%
Will Rudaz 0.6% 0.5% 0.3% 0.8% 0.9% 1.2% 1.0% 1.3% 2.6% 5.0% 13.6% 33.3% 38.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.