Race 10A

mt-hope-bay-invite

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Luke Hosek 6.2% 5.9% 7.3% 8.1% 8.7% 7.3% 8.0% 10.9% 14.1% 12.6% 8.6% 1.9% 0.4%
Michael Pinto 10.7% 10.7% 11.3% 11.2% 10.1% 11.5% 9.5% 8.3% 8.1% 5.9% 1.9% 0.8% 0.0%
Connor Sheridan 11.5% 12.4% 13.2% 10.7% 9.1% 12.2% 10.0% 8.0% 6.9% 4.2% 1.3% 0.5% 0.0%
Grant Adam 8.7% 6.6% 9.3% 10.4% 8.3% 8.8% 10.6% 11.3% 9.7% 8.9% 5.9% 1.2% 0.3%
Emma Snead 13.8% 13.3% 12.0% 10.7% 10.6% 9.5% 10.0% 7.5% 7.0% 3.7% 1.6% 0.3% 0.0%
Chase Reynolds 8.8% 9.2% 9.9% 9.7% 10.6% 9.2% 11.5% 9.1% 9.2% 7.7% 4.5% 0.5% 0.1%
Miles Williams 13.3% 13.1% 10.9% 11.7% 10.2% 10.6% 9.0% 6.8% 7.8% 3.9% 2.3% 0.3% 0.1%
Peter Cronin 8.6% 10.9% 8.3% 7.7% 10.7% 10.5% 9.8% 10.7% 10.3% 8.5% 3.5% 0.4% 0.1%
George Higham 11.8% 12.6% 12.0% 10.6% 11.5% 9.2% 8.5% 8.4% 6.9% 6.2% 1.6% 0.7% 0.0%
Luke Quine 4.5% 3.6% 3.8% 5.5% 6.4% 5.6% 7.6% 10.4% 10.2% 18.2% 16.3% 6.4% 1.5%
Harry Stevenson 1.3% 0.7% 1.5% 2.3% 2.3% 3.6% 3.5% 5.0% 6.2% 11.5% 29.9% 23.1% 9.1%
Nick Ferrara 0.2% 0.7% 0.1% 0.7% 0.5% 0.9% 0.8% 2.0% 1.8% 3.9% 9.5% 29.6% 49.3%
Will Rudaz 0.6% 0.3% 0.4% 0.7% 1.0% 1.1% 1.2% 1.6% 1.8% 4.8% 13.1% 34.3% 39.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.