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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Embry-Riddle University-0.27+7.99vs Predicted
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2University of Florida-0.69+8.07vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University0.32+3.72vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University0.68+1.91vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida0.45+1.34vs Predicted
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6Rollins College-0.04+2.05vs Predicted
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7University of Miami0.02+0.82vs Predicted
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8Florida Institute of Technology-0.64+1.93vs Predicted
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9Rollins College0.50-2.99vs Predicted
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10Jacksonville University-0.67+0.23vs Predicted
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11University of Miami0.50-4.98vs Predicted
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12University of South Florida0.77-6.74vs Predicted
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13Palm Beach Atlantic University-1.11-1.08vs Predicted
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14University of South Florida-0.16-5.51vs Predicted
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15Jacksonville University-0.33-6.09vs Predicted
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16University of Central Florida-3.16-0.67vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.99Embry-Riddle University-0.274.8%1st Place
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10.07University of Florida-0.693.5%1st Place
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6.72Jacksonville University0.328.4%1st Place
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5.91Jacksonville University0.6810.5%1st Place
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6.34University of South Florida0.4510.1%1st Place
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8.05Rollins College-0.044.6%1st Place
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7.82University of Miami0.026.3%1st Place
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9.93Florida Institute of Technology-0.643.5%1st Place
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6.01Rollins College0.5011.3%1st Place
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10.23Jacksonville University-0.672.6%1st Place
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6.02University of Miami0.5010.4%1st Place
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5.26University of South Florida0.7712.9%1st Place
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11.92Palm Beach Atlantic University-1.111.4%1st Place
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8.49University of South Florida-0.165.0%1st Place
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8.91Jacksonville University-0.334.4%1st Place
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15.33University of Central Florida-3.160.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mason Howell | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 0.9% |
| Justin Tribou | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 10.8% | 12.0% | 14.2% | 2.2% |
| Mason Mattice | 8.4% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Parker Thran | 10.5% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Sara Menesale | 10.1% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Milo Fleming | 4.6% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 3.0% | 0.1% |
| Harrison Vanderground | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 3.1% | 0.1% |
| Noah Scholtz | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 12.8% | 10.5% | 1.8% |
| Annie Samis | 11.3% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Conner Brandon | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 10.6% | 12.8% | 13.7% | 2.5% |
| Brendan Jay | 10.4% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ghislaine van Empel | 12.9% | 12.3% | 12.0% | 11.0% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Nathan Hjort | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 13.5% | 27.0% | 8.5% |
| Beatriz Newland | 5.0% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 0.7% |
| Cheyenne Dooley | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 1.2% |
| Ashley Flanagan | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 6.5% | 81.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.