Race 1B

mt-hope-bay-invite

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

57.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Edward Gary 8.6% 9.3% 10.4% 8.9% 11.1% 12.0% 8.6% 9.5% 9.2% 6.6% 3.8% 1.6% 0.4% 0.0%
Nils Tullberg 10.0% 10.9% 10.5% 10.7% 10.4% 11.1% 9.9% 10.1% 7.3% 5.0% 2.8% 1.0% 0.3% 0.0%
Nicholas Reeser 25.2% 20.9% 12.9% 11.9% 9.7% 8.4% 5.8% 2.8% 1.7% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Calvin Lamosse 5.3% 7.2% 8.6% 7.6% 8.6% 8.9% 9.6% 10.6% 10.3% 12.1% 7.2% 3.2% 0.7% 0.1%
Emmett Nevel 5.7% 8.4% 7.5% 9.7% 9.8% 8.0% 10.8% 11.3% 9.7% 9.9% 6.9% 1.9% 0.3% 0.1%
Caylin Schnoor 4.2% 4.1% 5.2% 4.6% 6.6% 8.2% 8.2% 8.9% 13.4% 15.4% 12.7% 6.5% 1.6% 0.4%
William Bailey 10.1% 10.2% 8.5% 11.4% 9.9% 10.2% 10.3% 8.9% 8.8% 7.6% 2.8% 0.8% 0.5% 0.0%
Peter McGonagle 8.7% 8.4% 10.1% 9.8% 10.3% 9.4% 9.6% 8.4% 10.9% 7.6% 4.8% 1.6% 0.3% 0.1%
Spencer Dellenbaugh 7.6% 6.9% 9.5% 8.6% 8.7% 9.5% 10.7% 12.5% 9.5% 9.3% 4.3% 2.2% 0.7% 0.0%
Connor Rosow 11.8% 11.3% 12.5% 13.1% 10.4% 10.6% 10.6% 7.7% 6.3% 3.1% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
Anne Berg 0.7% 0.9% 1.7% 1.3% 1.0% 1.5% 1.7% 3.2% 5.3% 7.4% 18.0% 24.6% 23.1% 9.6%
Greta Shuster 0.8% 0.8% 1.4% 1.3% 2.2% 1.2% 1.3% 3.7% 4.4% 8.7% 19.3% 23.3% 21.3% 10.3%
Victor Lomba 1.1% 0.3% 1.0% 0.6% 0.9% 0.7% 2.2% 1.5% 2.3% 4.8% 10.6% 22.1% 30.6% 21.3%
Patrick Stevenson 0.2% 0.4% 0.2% 0.5% 0.4% 0.3% 0.7% 0.9% 0.9% 1.9% 4.7% 10.7% 20.1% 58.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.