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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.63+2.37vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont1.32+4.44vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island1.63+2.80vs Predicted
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4Salve Regina University1.74+1.50vs Predicted
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5Brown University1.51+1.23vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University1.63-0.07vs Predicted
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7Bates College-0.56+3.86vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University0.95-0.40vs Predicted
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9Tufts University1.98-4.03vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University1.46-3.69vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.59-5.05vs Predicted
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12University of New Hampshire-0.56-0.89vs Predicted
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13Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.09-1.09vs Predicted
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14Middlebury College-1.93-0.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.37U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.630.3%1st Place
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6.44University of Vermont1.320.1%1st Place
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5.8University of Rhode Island1.630.1%1st Place
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5.5Salve Regina University1.740.1%1st Place
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6.23Brown University1.510.1%1st Place
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5.93Roger Williams University1.630.1%1st Place
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10.86Bates College-0.560.0%1st Place
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7.6Roger Williams University0.950.1%1st Place
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4.97Tufts University1.980.1%1st Place
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6.31Roger Williams University1.460.1%1st Place
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5.95U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.590.1%1st Place
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11.11University of New Hampshire-0.560.0%1st Place
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11.91Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.090.0%1st Place
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13.02Middlebury College-1.930.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Reeser | 25.4% | 20.4% | 15.4% | 11.4% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 11.0% | 10.5% | 10.6% | 7.1% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Edward Gary | 8.3% | 10.8% | 10.9% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 11.7% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 6.8% | 4.1% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Nils Tullberg | 8.6% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 11.4% | 10.9% | 11.0% | 10.7% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Spencer Dellenbaugh | 6.7% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 11.4% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 10.9% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 5.5% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| William Bailey | 8.5% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 11.6% | 10.3% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 2.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Greta Shuster | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 7.9% | 16.0% | 25.1% | 21.7% | 7.9% |
| Caylin Schnoor | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 10.9% | 8.0% | 10.7% | 13.8% | 12.9% | 7.5% | 2.1% | 0.2% |
| Connor Rosow | 11.8% | 12.2% | 12.4% | 10.6% | 10.7% | 12.4% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 3.9% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emmett Nevel | 6.7% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 10.6% | 10.4% | 5.3% | 2.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Peter McGonagle | 8.9% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 10.9% | 11.6% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 8.0% | 5.3% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Anne Berg | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 18.4% | 24.9% | 21.7% | 10.3% |
| Victor Lomba | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 4.6% | 11.6% | 19.0% | 31.2% | 22.6% |
| Patrick Stevenson | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 1.6% | 4.4% | 10.6% | 19.9% | 58.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.