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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.59+4.83vs Predicted
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2Salve Regina University1.74+3.36vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island1.63+2.83vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.98+0.93vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University1.46+1.41vs Predicted
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6Brown University1.51+0.18vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University1.63-1.38vs Predicted
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8Bates College-0.56+2.96vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.63-5.55vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont1.32-3.30vs Predicted
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11University of New Hampshire-0.56+0.15vs Predicted
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12Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.09-0.01vs Predicted
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13Middlebury College-1.93-0.02vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University0.95-6.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.83U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.590.1%1st Place
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5.36Salve Regina University1.740.1%1st Place
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5.83University of Rhode Island1.630.1%1st Place
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4.93Tufts University1.980.1%1st Place
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6.41Roger Williams University1.460.1%1st Place
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6.18Brown University1.510.1%1st Place
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5.62Roger Williams University1.630.1%1st Place
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10.96Bates College-0.560.0%1st Place
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3.45U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.630.2%1st Place
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6.7University of Vermont1.320.1%1st Place
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11.15University of New Hampshire-0.560.0%1st Place
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11.99Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.090.0%1st Place
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12.98Middlebury College-1.930.0%1st Place
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7.61Roger Williams University0.950.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peter McGonagle | 8.1% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 5.1% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nils Tullberg | 10.1% | 11.8% | 10.9% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 11.1% | 10.6% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Edward Gary | 9.3% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 8.2% | 4.1% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Connor Rosow | 11.7% | 13.0% | 12.4% | 10.1% | 12.4% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Emmett Nevel | 5.3% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 10.8% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 12.1% | 10.6% | 5.8% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Spencer Dellenbaugh | 8.1% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 11.0% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 2.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| William Bailey | 9.2% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 10.6% | 11.5% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Greta Shuster | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 17.5% | 24.1% | 21.3% | 10.6% |
| Nicholas Reeser | 24.2% | 17.9% | 15.9% | 13.0% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 7.1% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 11.8% | 11.2% | 7.9% | 2.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Anne Berg | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 8.1% | 15.7% | 25.4% | 24.8% | 8.7% |
| Victor Lomba | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 4.9% | 10.3% | 23.1% | 30.8% | 21.4% |
| Patrick Stevenson | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 5.1% | 9.7% | 19.3% | 58.9% |
| Caylin Schnoor | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 12.5% | 15.5% | 12.2% | 6.0% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.