Race 6B

mt-hope-bay-invite

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Nicholas Reeser 26.6% 20.9% 14.7% 11.9% 9.5% 6.4% 5.2% 2.3% 1.3% 0.4% 0.8% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Nils Tullberg 10.2% 14.0% 9.3% 10.5% 11.0% 12.2% 9.7% 9.6% 6.2% 4.4% 1.7% 0.8% 0.4% 0.0%
William Bailey 9.3% 10.0% 9.7% 10.4% 9.6% 10.8% 9.8% 11.2% 8.0% 6.7% 3.6% 0.5% 0.4% 0.0%
Keller Morrison 2.6% 3.1% 5.0% 5.7% 6.0% 5.7% 6.6% 9.0% 13.0% 14.6% 16.3% 8.6% 3.1% 0.7%
Connor Rosow 11.0% 11.8% 14.2% 12.4% 10.9% 11.7% 9.9% 6.9% 5.4% 3.9% 1.3% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0%
Calvin Lamosse 6.6% 6.0% 7.5% 9.6% 8.5% 9.2% 11.3% 10.6% 10.6% 9.7% 7.1% 2.5% 0.8% 0.0%
Emmett Nevel 8.4% 9.5% 9.5% 8.4% 11.1% 10.4% 9.9% 10.3% 9.7% 7.8% 3.2% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
Peter McGonagle 9.8% 8.8% 10.9% 9.5% 10.6% 10.5% 8.9% 9.3% 8.4% 7.9% 3.7% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0%
Edward Gary 8.6% 8.6% 10.5% 11.1% 10.6% 10.7% 11.1% 9.6% 8.9% 5.7% 3.0% 1.5% 0.1% 0.0%
Caylin Schnoor 4.3% 3.7% 5.2% 6.4% 7.6% 7.3% 9.9% 9.5% 13.3% 14.3% 11.0% 5.4% 1.9% 0.2%
Greta Shuster 0.8% 1.4% 1.2% 1.4% 1.1% 1.7% 2.3% 4.3% 4.3% 9.1% 16.1% 23.2% 24.4% 8.7%
Patrick Stevenson 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 1.2% 1.6% 1.3% 2.3% 4.3% 9.1% 19.1% 59.8%
Victor Lomba 0.8% 0.9% 0.9% 0.7% 1.2% 0.8% 1.9% 2.2% 3.1% 5.3% 11.0% 19.1% 29.2% 22.9%
Anne Berg 0.8% 1.1% 1.3% 1.7% 2.0% 2.4% 2.3% 3.6% 6.5% 7.9% 16.9% 26.0% 19.9% 7.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.