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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University1.63+4.63vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.59+3.64vs Predicted
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3Brown University1.51+3.02vs Predicted
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4Salve Regina University1.74+1.49vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont1.32+1.70vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.63-2.55vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University0.95+0.36vs Predicted
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8Tufts University1.98-3.13vs Predicted
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9Bates College-0.56+2.04vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island1.63-4.18vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University1.19-3.98vs Predicted
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12Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.09-0.05vs Predicted
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13University of New Hampshire-0.56-2.02vs Predicted
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14Middlebury College-1.93-0.97vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.63Roger Williams University1.630.1%1st Place
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5.64U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.590.1%1st Place
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6.02Brown University1.510.1%1st Place
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5.49Salve Regina University1.740.1%1st Place
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6.7University of Vermont1.320.1%1st Place
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3.45U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.630.2%1st Place
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7.36Roger Williams University0.950.0%1st Place
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4.87Tufts University1.980.1%1st Place
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11.04Bates College-0.560.0%1st Place
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5.82University of Rhode Island1.630.1%1st Place
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7.02Roger Williams University1.190.1%1st Place
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11.95Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.090.0%1st Place
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10.98University of New Hampshire-0.560.0%1st Place
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13.03Middlebury College-1.930.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Bailey | 9.1% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 10.9% | 11.1% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Peter McGonagle | 9.6% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 10.7% | 11.4% | 8.7% | 6.0% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Spencer Dellenbaugh | 8.7% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 10.6% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 7.6% | 5.0% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Nils Tullberg | 9.1% | 9.8% | 11.3% | 11.4% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 2.9% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 11.3% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 2.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Nicholas Reeser | 23.9% | 18.9% | 17.1% | 10.7% | 9.9% | 8.1% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Caylin Schnoor | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 10.1% | 7.8% | 11.2% | 16.1% | 11.1% | 5.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Connor Rosow | 12.9% | 13.4% | 11.4% | 12.5% | 9.4% | 10.9% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Greta Shuster | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 7.4% | 18.3% | 24.9% | 22.2% | 9.5% |
| Edward Gary | 7.6% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 11.8% | 10.5% | 9.0% | 10.9% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Colin Martz | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 12.9% | 13.1% | 8.6% | 3.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Victor Lomba | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 4.5% | 10.6% | 20.7% | 31.2% | 22.4% |
| Anne Berg | 1.5% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 9.0% | 16.6% | 25.9% | 21.0% | 9.4% |
| Patrick Stevenson | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 2.3% | 4.1% | 9.6% | 21.4% | 58.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.