Race 9B

mt-hope-bay-invite

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Nicholas Reeser 25.1% 20.0% 15.6% 11.4% 8.7% 7.9% 4.9% 3.4% 1.9% 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
William Bailey 8.3% 11.2% 9.9% 9.8% 10.7% 9.6% 10.8% 11.3% 8.1% 5.4% 3.1% 1.6% 0.1% 0.1%
Calvin Lamosse 7.1% 6.8% 8.0% 7.6% 6.9% 8.5% 9.7% 12.5% 12.3% 10.9% 5.6% 3.2% 0.9% 0.0%
Peter McGonagle 6.6% 9.0% 9.5% 10.3% 10.9% 9.4% 10.8% 10.0% 9.2% 8.5% 4.3% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0%
Nils Tullberg 8.1% 9.3% 10.4% 11.8% 10.9% 10.4% 10.1% 8.7% 8.4% 7.4% 3.5% 0.6% 0.4% 0.0%
Caylin Schnoor 4.6% 3.7% 4.1% 6.1% 6.7% 7.7% 8.3% 9.8% 12.2% 14.9% 13.3% 6.8% 1.7% 0.1%
Connor Rosow 13.8% 13.7% 12.7% 10.4% 12.0% 9.4% 10.4% 6.5% 5.8% 3.6% 1.0% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0%
Edward Gary 8.8% 10.0% 10.8% 8.6% 10.2% 8.9% 10.0% 9.1% 9.0% 8.6% 4.3% 1.6% 0.1% 0.0%
Spencer Dellenbaugh 7.5% 7.1% 7.2% 9.6% 10.1% 11.4% 10.5% 10.3% 9.7% 9.6% 3.9% 2.5% 0.6% 0.0%
Greta Shuster 1.2% 1.0% 1.6% 1.1% 1.2% 1.0% 2.1% 2.6% 4.3% 7.7% 19.3% 24.2% 21.9% 10.8%
Emmett Nevel 7.0% 6.4% 8.3% 10.7% 8.4% 11.7% 8.7% 9.3% 11.4% 9.3% 6.2% 2.3% 0.2% 0.1%
Victor Lomba 0.2% 0.8% 0.7% 0.7% 1.3% 1.1% 1.2% 1.7% 2.7% 3.7% 12.1% 20.6% 31.0% 22.2%
Anne Berg 1.4% 0.7% 1.1% 1.5% 1.5% 2.4% 2.2% 3.8% 4.0% 7.7% 18.2% 24.6% 21.8% 9.1%
Patrick Stevenson 0.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.4% 0.5% 0.6% 0.3% 1.0% 1.0% 2.2% 4.8% 9.9% 21.0% 57.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.