Race 10B

mt-hope-bay-invite

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Nicholas Reeser 25.5% 21.0% 14.2% 11.5% 9.6% 6.5% 4.7% 3.8% 2.0% 0.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Nils Tullberg 9.5% 12.0% 11.5% 10.1% 10.0% 10.3% 11.4% 9.6% 7.4% 4.6% 2.7% 0.6% 0.3% 0.0%
William Bailey 9.0% 9.0% 10.3% 8.2% 9.3% 11.3% 10.3% 9.1% 10.8% 7.1% 4.4% 0.9% 0.3% 0.0%
Connor Rosow 10.4% 14.6% 12.1% 11.8% 11.4% 10.3% 9.2% 7.4% 6.4% 3.7% 2.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Edward Gary 7.4% 8.1% 9.6% 11.3% 10.1% 9.1% 11.0% 8.6% 9.7% 8.5% 4.6% 1.5% 0.5% 0.0%
Peter McGonagle 8.5% 6.7% 9.4% 10.9% 10.4% 10.1% 9.9% 10.0% 8.9% 7.6% 5.3% 2.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Emmett Nevel 8.4% 9.0% 7.1% 9.5% 10.4% 10.2% 10.2% 9.8% 10.1% 8.8% 4.3% 1.5% 0.5% 0.2%
Calvin Lamosse 7.0% 6.8% 8.4% 6.9% 9.0% 9.0% 8.6% 11.2% 10.4% 10.7% 7.9% 3.5% 0.6% 0.0%
Spencer Dellenbaugh 7.8% 6.3% 9.8% 8.9% 10.0% 9.6% 10.3% 11.4% 10.0% 8.6% 4.5% 2.5% 0.3% 0.0%
Caylin Schnoor 4.1% 3.4% 4.4% 6.6% 6.0% 8.9% 8.2% 8.8% 12.7% 16.4% 10.7% 7.4% 2.0% 0.4%
Anne Berg 0.4% 1.3% 1.4% 1.2% 1.4% 1.4% 1.9% 3.8% 4.4% 7.5% 17.4% 23.7% 25.2% 9.0%
Greta Shuster 0.9% 0.8% 1.3% 1.5% 1.6% 1.3% 2.6% 3.3% 3.0% 8.7% 19.0% 24.5% 20.7% 10.8%
Patrick Stevenson 0.6% 0.5% 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.7% 0.4% 0.7% 1.2% 2.5% 4.8% 10.7% 16.6% 60.5%
Victor Lomba 0.5% 0.5% 0.3% 1.3% 0.5% 1.3% 1.3% 2.5% 3.0% 4.6% 11.6% 20.6% 32.9% 19.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.