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📊 Prediction Accuracy
64.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University1.70+2.99vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University1.58+1.98vs Predicted
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3Eckerd College0.85+2.66vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida1.60-0.19vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida0.01+3.13vs Predicted
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6Palm Beach Atlantic University0.36+0.95vs Predicted
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7Jacksonville University0.70-1.05vs Predicted
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8Eckerd College0.44-1.12vs Predicted
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9Embry-Riddle University-0.27-0.14vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida0.45-3.23vs Predicted
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11University of Florida-0.86+0.43vs Predicted
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12Florida Institute of Technology-1.26-0.88vs Predicted
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13University of Central Florida-0.20-4.10vs Predicted
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14Florida State University-2.05-1.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.99Jacksonville University1.7018.1%1st Place
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3.98Jacksonville University1.5817.0%1st Place
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5.66Eckerd College0.859.0%1st Place
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3.81University of South Florida1.6018.4%1st Place
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8.13University of South Florida0.014.0%1st Place
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6.95Palm Beach Atlantic University0.365.7%1st Place
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5.95Jacksonville University0.708.0%1st Place
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6.88Eckerd College0.445.7%1st Place
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8.86Embry-Riddle University-0.272.9%1st Place
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6.77University of South Florida0.456.3%1st Place
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11.43University of Florida-0.860.8%1st Place
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11.12Florida Institute of Technology-1.261.2%1st Place
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8.9University of Central Florida-0.203.0%1st Place
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12.57Florida State University-2.050.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Igoe | 18.1% | 16.4% | 16.0% | 12.2% | 11.1% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cole Schweda | 17.0% | 16.9% | 15.6% | 13.6% | 11.5% | 9.2% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Pj Rodrigues | 9.0% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 11.8% | 10.9% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Kay Brunsvold | 18.4% | 17.8% | 14.5% | 13.7% | 12.4% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Blake March | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 11.5% | 13.3% | 12.0% | 9.6% | 4.7% | 1.4% |
| Dawson Kohl | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 2.2% | 0.5% |
| Fiona Froelich | 8.0% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Carter Morin | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 9.5% | 11.1% | 10.6% | 11.2% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 4.5% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Mason Howell | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 10.8% | 13.1% | 13.9% | 14.2% | 7.5% | 2.3% |
| Sara Menesale | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 10.7% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Ava Moring | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 9.9% | 14.9% | 27.7% | 22.8% |
| William Meade | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 9.8% | 17.6% | 25.5% | 18.2% |
| Charlie Eckert | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 11.8% | 14.9% | 14.8% | 8.5% | 3.0% |
| Patrick Parker | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 6.2% | 9.4% | 19.7% | 51.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.