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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University1.69+3.01vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania2.06+1.39vs Predicted
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3Fordham University1.44+1.59vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland1.80-0.06vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.74-0.98vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University1.28-1.13vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy0.78-1.15vs Predicted
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8University of Pennsylvania0.99-2.67vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.01Georgetown University1.690.2%1st Place
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3.39University of Pennsylvania2.060.2%1st Place
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4.59Fordham University1.440.1%1st Place
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3.94St. Mary's College of Maryland1.800.1%1st Place
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4.02U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.740.1%1st Place
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4.87Old Dominion University1.280.1%1st Place
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5.85U. S. Naval Academy0.780.1%1st Place
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5.33University of Pennsylvania0.990.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Morgan Sailer | 15.5% | 13.9% | 15.5% | 14.6% | 12.8% | 10.9% | 11.4% | 5.4% |
| Sofia Segalla | 21.6% | 18.2% | 16.3% | 15.1% | 11.6% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 2.1% |
| Payton Canavan | 11.5% | 10.9% | 12.5% | 11.6% | 14.6% | 14.3% | 13.6% | 11.0% |
| Katherine Bennett | 14.9% | 16.4% | 15.0% | 13.8% | 13.2% | 12.2% | 9.4% | 5.1% |
| Emma AuBuchon | 13.1% | 16.9% | 15.5% | 13.6% | 12.5% | 12.6% | 10.3% | 5.5% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 9.9% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 13.2% | 13.0% | 14.4% | 13.1% | 16.4% |
| Carlyn Blauvelt | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 12.4% | 17.7% | 33.9% |
| Kiki Bruzzi | 7.1% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 13.2% | 14.7% | 17.9% | 20.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.