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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania2.06+2.34vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy0.78+3.85vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University1.69+1.10vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland1.80-0.11vs Predicted
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5Fordham University1.44-0.43vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.74-2.03vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University1.28-2.06vs Predicted
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8University of Pennsylvania0.99-2.67vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.34University of Pennsylvania2.060.2%1st Place
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5.85U. S. Naval Academy0.780.1%1st Place
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4.1Georgetown University1.690.1%1st Place
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3.89St. Mary's College of Maryland1.800.2%1st Place
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4.57Fordham University1.440.1%1st Place
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3.97U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.740.2%1st Place
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4.94Old Dominion University1.280.1%1st Place
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5.33University of Pennsylvania0.990.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sofia Segalla | 21.5% | 20.2% | 16.5% | 13.7% | 11.8% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 2.7% |
| Carlyn Blauvelt | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 10.0% | 12.2% | 19.3% | 32.4% |
| Morgan Sailer | 13.9% | 14.7% | 14.9% | 12.7% | 15.0% | 12.1% | 10.3% | 6.4% |
| Katherine Bennett | 15.7% | 17.3% | 14.0% | 13.2% | 13.3% | 12.7% | 9.1% | 4.7% |
| Payton Canavan | 10.5% | 11.1% | 13.8% | 13.0% | 12.6% | 15.2% | 13.3% | 10.5% |
| Emma AuBuchon | 15.5% | 14.1% | 15.5% | 16.3% | 11.5% | 11.5% | 9.8% | 5.8% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 10.2% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 12.9% | 12.5% | 13.3% | 15.7% | 16.5% |
| Kiki Bruzzi | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 10.6% | 13.3% | 15.3% | 16.6% | 21.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.