← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1U. S. Naval Academy0.78+4.76vs Predicted
-
2Georgetown University1.69+2.11vs Predicted
-
3University of Pennsylvania2.06+0.39vs Predicted
-
4St. Mary's College of Maryland1.80-0.06vs Predicted
-
5U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.74-1.00vs Predicted
-
6University of Pennsylvania0.99-0.61vs Predicted
-
7Old Dominion University1.28-2.07vs Predicted
-
8Fordham University1.44-3.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.76U. S. Naval Academy0.780.1%1st Place
-
4.11Georgetown University1.690.1%1st Place
-
3.39University of Pennsylvania2.060.2%1st Place
-
3.94St. Mary's College of Maryland1.800.2%1st Place
-
4.0U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.740.1%1st Place
-
5.39University of Pennsylvania0.990.1%1st Place
-
4.93Old Dominion University1.280.1%1st Place
-
4.48Fordham University1.440.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carlyn Blauvelt | 5.3% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 13.4% | 20.6% | 29.0% |
| Morgan Sailer | 13.9% | 14.0% | 15.0% | 12.9% | 15.5% | 12.4% | 9.9% | 6.4% |
| Sofia Segalla | 21.6% | 18.1% | 17.1% | 15.7% | 8.9% | 10.7% | 4.8% | 3.1% |
| Katherine Bennett | 15.3% | 17.2% | 13.5% | 12.7% | 14.9% | 12.9% | 7.4% | 6.1% |
| Emma AuBuchon | 14.4% | 16.5% | 14.0% | 14.7% | 11.9% | 12.7% | 10.4% | 5.4% |
| Kiki Bruzzi | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 10.9% | 11.6% | 13.4% | 17.3% | 23.6% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 10.5% | 8.8% | 10.6% | 11.0% | 14.5% | 11.5% | 17.2% | 15.9% |
| Payton Canavan | 11.6% | 11.3% | 13.4% | 13.8% | 14.0% | 13.0% | 12.4% | 10.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.