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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland1.80+2.81vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University1.69+2.11vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania2.06+0.39vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University1.28+0.91vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.74-0.96vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy0.78-0.21vs Predicted
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7University of Pennsylvania0.99-1.50vs Predicted
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8Fordham University1.44-3.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.81St. Mary's College of Maryland1.800.2%1st Place
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4.11Georgetown University1.690.1%1st Place
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3.39University of Pennsylvania2.060.2%1st Place
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4.91Old Dominion University1.280.1%1st Place
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4.04U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.740.1%1st Place
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5.79U. S. Naval Academy0.780.1%1st Place
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5.5University of Pennsylvania0.990.1%1st Place
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4.46Fordham University1.440.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katherine Bennett | 15.1% | 18.5% | 15.3% | 14.5% | 13.6% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 4.7% |
| Morgan Sailer | 14.4% | 13.5% | 14.1% | 14.1% | 15.0% | 11.9% | 11.2% | 5.8% |
| Sofia Segalla | 21.8% | 18.1% | 17.2% | 14.8% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 4.7% | 3.4% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 9.9% | 9.1% | 11.5% | 10.3% | 13.1% | 14.9% | 17.5% | 13.7% |
| Emma AuBuchon | 13.7% | 16.8% | 13.3% | 14.9% | 13.4% | 11.5% | 10.3% | 6.1% |
| Carlyn Blauvelt | 6.2% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 14.0% | 16.9% | 31.5% |
| Kiki Bruzzi | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 13.5% | 18.4% | 25.5% |
| Payton Canavan | 11.9% | 11.7% | 12.9% | 12.3% | 15.0% | 15.2% | 11.7% | 9.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.