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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University1.69+3.02vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania2.06+1.40vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland1.80+0.90vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy0.78+1.84vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University1.28-0.08vs Predicted
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6Fordham University1.44-1.46vs Predicted
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7University of Pennsylvania0.99-1.52vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.74-4.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.02Georgetown University1.690.1%1st Place
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3.4University of Pennsylvania2.060.2%1st Place
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3.9St. Mary's College of Maryland1.800.2%1st Place
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5.84U. S. Naval Academy0.780.1%1st Place
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4.92Old Dominion University1.280.1%1st Place
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4.54Fordham University1.440.1%1st Place
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5.48University of Pennsylvania0.990.1%1st Place
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3.9U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.740.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Morgan Sailer | 13.9% | 16.7% | 14.3% | 13.9% | 13.3% | 11.3% | 10.7% | 5.9% |
| Sofia Segalla | 21.0% | 18.2% | 17.1% | 14.0% | 12.6% | 9.0% | 6.2% | 1.9% |
| Katherine Bennett | 16.9% | 13.1% | 16.1% | 14.7% | 13.6% | 12.5% | 8.1% | 5.0% |
| Carlyn Blauvelt | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 12.7% | 20.0% | 30.8% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 7.8% | 10.8% | 11.4% | 10.9% | 13.0% | 16.2% | 16.1% | 13.8% |
| Payton Canavan | 11.3% | 12.7% | 10.9% | 14.2% | 13.0% | 14.0% | 12.7% | 11.2% |
| Kiki Bruzzi | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 12.0% | 13.0% | 17.0% | 26.2% |
| Emma AuBuchon | 16.3% | 14.7% | 15.5% | 15.2% | 12.6% | 11.3% | 9.2% | 5.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.