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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland1.80+2.82vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania2.06+1.41vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.74+1.01vs Predicted
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4Fordham University1.44+0.60vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University1.28-0.10vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University1.69-1.93vs Predicted
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7University of Pennsylvania0.99-1.51vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy0.78-2.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.82St. Mary's College of Maryland1.800.2%1st Place
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3.41University of Pennsylvania2.060.2%1st Place
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4.01U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.740.2%1st Place
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4.6Fordham University1.440.1%1st Place
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4.9Old Dominion University1.280.1%1st Place
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4.07Georgetown University1.690.1%1st Place
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5.49University of Pennsylvania0.990.1%1st Place
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5.71U. S. Naval Academy0.780.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katherine Bennett | 15.9% | 17.3% | 15.7% | 15.2% | 11.9% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 5.2% |
| Sofia Segalla | 20.5% | 19.4% | 16.0% | 14.6% | 11.9% | 9.5% | 6.0% | 2.1% |
| Emma AuBuchon | 16.1% | 12.7% | 15.8% | 14.1% | 12.6% | 13.8% | 9.4% | 5.5% |
| Payton Canavan | 11.2% | 11.5% | 12.2% | 11.3% | 15.9% | 12.6% | 13.8% | 11.5% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 8.9% | 9.5% | 11.7% | 13.2% | 10.5% | 16.8% | 14.5% | 14.9% |
| Morgan Sailer | 14.6% | 15.2% | 14.6% | 13.2% | 14.3% | 10.7% | 9.9% | 7.5% |
| Kiki Bruzzi | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 11.6% | 13.2% | 17.9% | 25.4% |
| Carlyn Blauvelt | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 9.0% | 11.3% | 13.9% | 19.2% | 27.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.