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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania0.99+4.39vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.74+2.02vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland1.80+0.87vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania2.06-0.57vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University1.69-0.87vs Predicted
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6Fordham University1.44-1.47vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University1.28-2.08vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy0.78-2.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.39University of Pennsylvania0.990.1%1st Place
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4.02U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.740.1%1st Place
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3.87St. Mary's College of Maryland1.800.2%1st Place
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3.43University of Pennsylvania2.060.2%1st Place
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4.13Georgetown University1.690.1%1st Place
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4.53Fordham University1.440.1%1st Place
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4.92Old Dominion University1.280.1%1st Place
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5.72U. S. Naval Academy0.780.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kiki Bruzzi | 6.4% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 15.2% | 17.2% | 22.9% |
| Emma AuBuchon | 14.8% | 15.4% | 13.1% | 15.4% | 13.9% | 11.9% | 9.4% | 6.1% |
| Katherine Bennett | 16.4% | 15.1% | 17.0% | 13.7% | 12.1% | 11.6% | 8.6% | 5.5% |
| Sofia Segalla | 20.9% | 18.8% | 16.0% | 14.3% | 13.5% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 3.4% |
| Morgan Sailer | 13.2% | 14.6% | 15.9% | 12.7% | 13.5% | 12.2% | 11.8% | 6.1% |
| Payton Canavan | 11.6% | 11.5% | 12.3% | 14.7% | 12.0% | 13.3% | 13.5% | 11.1% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 10.5% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 10.7% | 13.6% | 13.1% | 16.4% | 16.0% |
| Carlyn Blauvelt | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 11.0% | 15.3% | 17.4% | 28.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.