← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1U. S. Naval Academy2.80+1.55vs Predicted
-
2St. Mary's College of Maryland1.80+2.36vs Predicted
-
3Georgetown University1.69+1.59vs Predicted
-
4University of Pennsylvania2.06-0.10vs Predicted
-
5Old Dominion University1.28+0.33vs Predicted
-
6Fordham University1.44-1.00vs Predicted
-
7U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.74-2.50vs Predicted
-
8University of Pennsylvania0.99-2.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.55U. S. Naval Academy2.800.3%1st Place
-
4.36St. Mary's College of Maryland1.800.1%1st Place
-
4.59Georgetown University1.690.1%1st Place
-
3.9University of Pennsylvania2.060.1%1st Place
-
5.33Old Dominion University1.280.1%1st Place
-
5.0Fordham University1.440.1%1st Place
-
4.5U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.740.1%1st Place
-
5.77University of Pennsylvania0.990.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olivia de Olazarra | 33.7% | 26.0% | 14.7% | 12.3% | 7.0% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 0.8% |
| Katherine Bennett | 10.5% | 13.3% | 13.8% | 15.6% | 14.8% | 11.8% | 11.5% | 8.7% |
| Morgan Sailer | 10.2% | 12.0% | 13.0% | 11.4% | 15.5% | 12.8% | 14.7% | 10.4% |
| Sofia Segalla | 14.0% | 16.4% | 16.5% | 13.7% | 14.3% | 12.5% | 7.9% | 4.7% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 6.2% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 10.4% | 12.0% | 15.2% | 19.0% | 19.5% |
| Payton Canavan | 9.2% | 7.9% | 11.6% | 12.6% | 11.3% | 15.7% | 14.5% | 17.2% |
| Emma AuBuchon | 11.7% | 10.4% | 12.9% | 15.4% | 12.8% | 14.2% | 12.9% | 9.7% |
| Kiki Bruzzi | 4.5% | 5.4% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 12.3% | 14.0% | 17.8% | 29.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.