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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy0.78+4.76vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland1.80+1.90vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University1.28+1.87vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania0.99+1.44vs Predicted
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5Fordham University1.44-0.40vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.74-2.02vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University1.69-2.83vs Predicted
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8University of Pennsylvania2.06-4.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.76U. S. Naval Academy0.780.1%1st Place
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3.9St. Mary's College of Maryland1.800.1%1st Place
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4.87Old Dominion University1.280.1%1st Place
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5.44University of Pennsylvania0.990.1%1st Place
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4.6Fordham University1.440.1%1st Place
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3.98U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.740.1%1st Place
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4.17Georgetown University1.690.2%1st Place
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3.28University of Pennsylvania2.060.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carlyn Blauvelt | 5.1% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 14.3% | 18.9% | 29.6% |
| Katherine Bennett | 14.6% | 16.8% | 14.4% | 15.3% | 14.0% | 11.4% | 9.0% | 4.5% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 10.6% | 8.1% | 12.1% | 12.2% | 11.2% | 14.6% | 17.7% | 13.5% |
| Kiki Bruzzi | 6.7% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 12.4% | 14.8% | 14.4% | 25.6% |
| Payton Canavan | 9.5% | 12.7% | 12.1% | 14.0% | 13.5% | 13.8% | 12.5% | 11.9% |
| Emma AuBuchon | 14.9% | 15.8% | 14.6% | 13.9% | 14.3% | 10.8% | 9.9% | 5.8% |
| Morgan Sailer | 15.5% | 13.3% | 13.7% | 12.2% | 13.8% | 11.8% | 12.6% | 7.1% |
| Sofia Segalla | 23.1% | 18.3% | 17.3% | 14.3% | 11.5% | 8.5% | 5.0% | 2.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.