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📊 Prediction Accuracy
64.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida1.60+2.81vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University1.70+1.90vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University1.58+0.95vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida0.01+4.24vs Predicted
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5Eckerd College0.85+0.68vs Predicted
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6Jacksonville University0.70-0.03vs Predicted
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7Florida Institute of Technology-1.26+4.17vs Predicted
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8Palm Beach Atlantic University0.36-1.01vs Predicted
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9Embry-Riddle University-0.27-0.21vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida0.45-3.14vs Predicted
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11University of Central Florida-0.20-1.97vs Predicted
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12University of Florida-0.86-0.58vs Predicted
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13Eckerd College0.44-6.28vs Predicted
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14Florida State University-2.05-1.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.81University of South Florida1.6018.9%1st Place
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3.9Jacksonville University1.7017.3%1st Place
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3.95Jacksonville University1.5817.7%1st Place
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8.24University of South Florida0.013.7%1st Place
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5.68Eckerd College0.858.5%1st Place
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5.97Jacksonville University0.707.2%1st Place
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11.17Florida Institute of Technology-1.260.9%1st Place
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6.99Palm Beach Atlantic University0.365.1%1st Place
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8.79Embry-Riddle University-0.272.9%1st Place
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6.86University of South Florida0.456.5%1st Place
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9.03University of Central Florida-0.202.7%1st Place
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11.42University of Florida-0.861.2%1st Place
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6.72Eckerd College0.446.6%1st Place
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12.46Florida State University-2.050.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kay Brunsvold | 18.9% | 18.0% | 15.6% | 13.9% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Igoe | 17.3% | 16.1% | 16.0% | 13.9% | 12.0% | 9.6% | 7.3% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cole Schweda | 17.7% | 16.1% | 15.4% | 12.3% | 11.7% | 11.2% | 7.4% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Blake March | 3.7% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 10.1% | 11.9% | 11.1% | 11.7% | 11.6% | 5.2% | 1.7% |
| Pj Rodrigues | 8.5% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Fiona Froelich | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 11.2% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 12.2% | 10.7% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| William Meade | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 10.5% | 18.3% | 24.9% | 17.7% |
| Dawson Kohl | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 11.3% | 11.2% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Mason Howell | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 13.5% | 13.9% | 12.8% | 8.6% | 2.4% |
| Sara Menesale | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 11.2% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 5.2% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Charlie Eckert | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 10.0% | 11.5% | 14.6% | 14.4% | 9.3% | 3.4% |
| Ava Moring | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 7.1% | 9.7% | 16.3% | 26.8% | 21.7% |
| Carter Morin | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 7.5% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Patrick Parker | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 9.6% | 18.6% | 51.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.