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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania2.06+2.35vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University1.28+2.92vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy0.78+2.77vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.74+0.03vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University1.69-0.88vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania0.99-0.63vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland1.80-3.00vs Predicted
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8Fordham University1.44-3.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.35University of Pennsylvania2.060.2%1st Place
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4.92Old Dominion University1.280.1%1st Place
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5.77U. S. Naval Academy0.780.1%1st Place
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4.03U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.740.1%1st Place
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4.12Georgetown University1.690.1%1st Place
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5.37University of Pennsylvania0.990.1%1st Place
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4.0St. Mary's College of Maryland1.800.2%1st Place
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4.44Fordham University1.440.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sofia Segalla | 22.4% | 18.4% | 16.0% | 16.2% | 10.4% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 2.6% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 8.8% | 10.4% | 11.0% | 9.5% | 13.8% | 16.8% | 16.0% | 13.7% |
| Carlyn Blauvelt | 6.0% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 11.0% | 19.8% | 31.2% |
| Emma AuBuchon | 15.0% | 14.7% | 13.8% | 12.8% | 16.3% | 13.3% | 8.4% | 5.7% |
| Morgan Sailer | 13.2% | 14.3% | 16.3% | 12.9% | 14.0% | 11.2% | 12.1% | 6.0% |
| Kiki Bruzzi | 7.7% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 10.7% | 11.6% | 13.7% | 16.2% | 24.1% |
| Katherine Bennett | 15.3% | 15.4% | 14.4% | 15.2% | 11.8% | 11.1% | 9.9% | 6.9% |
| Payton Canavan | 11.6% | 13.0% | 12.1% | 13.7% | 13.3% | 14.9% | 11.6% | 9.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.