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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania2.06+2.34vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania0.99+3.47vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy0.78+2.77vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University1.69+0.11vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland1.80-1.10vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University1.28-1.13vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.74-2.91vs Predicted
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8Fordham University1.44-3.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.34University of Pennsylvania2.060.2%1st Place
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5.47University of Pennsylvania0.990.1%1st Place
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5.77U. S. Naval Academy0.780.1%1st Place
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4.11Georgetown University1.690.1%1st Place
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3.9St. Mary's College of Maryland1.800.1%1st Place
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4.87Old Dominion University1.280.1%1st Place
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4.09U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.740.1%1st Place
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4.45Fordham University1.440.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sofia Segalla | 21.8% | 19.6% | 16.1% | 15.8% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 4.7% | 3.2% |
| Kiki Bruzzi | 6.8% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 10.9% | 15.9% | 18.6% | 23.0% |
| Carlyn Blauvelt | 6.2% | 5.8% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 12.1% | 17.3% | 32.6% |
| Morgan Sailer | 13.9% | 14.2% | 13.4% | 13.4% | 16.5% | 13.3% | 10.0% | 5.3% |
| Katherine Bennett | 14.9% | 16.6% | 15.5% | 14.5% | 13.0% | 10.4% | 11.0% | 4.1% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 10.1% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 12.0% | 13.9% | 14.1% | 15.4% | 14.7% |
| Emma AuBuchon | 14.9% | 13.9% | 15.2% | 13.9% | 12.7% | 11.1% | 11.0% | 7.3% |
| Payton Canavan | 11.4% | 12.9% | 12.2% | 13.8% | 13.5% | 14.4% | 12.0% | 9.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.