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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania2.06+2.33vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania0.99+3.49vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.74+0.99vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland1.80-0.09vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University1.69-0.91vs Predicted
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6Fordham University1.44-1.43vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy0.78-1.16vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University1.28-3.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.33University of Pennsylvania2.060.2%1st Place
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5.49University of Pennsylvania0.990.1%1st Place
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3.99U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.740.2%1st Place
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3.91St. Mary's College of Maryland1.800.2%1st Place
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4.09Georgetown University1.690.1%1st Place
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4.57Fordham University1.440.1%1st Place
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5.84U. S. Naval Academy0.780.1%1st Place
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4.77Old Dominion University1.280.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sofia Segalla | 22.6% | 19.0% | 16.2% | 13.9% | 12.5% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 2.7% |
| Kiki Bruzzi | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 11.1% | 14.5% | 18.9% | 23.9% |
| Emma AuBuchon | 15.3% | 14.0% | 15.3% | 14.3% | 13.7% | 13.0% | 8.9% | 5.5% |
| Katherine Bennett | 15.2% | 16.3% | 15.0% | 13.8% | 13.6% | 12.1% | 9.4% | 4.6% |
| Morgan Sailer | 12.7% | 16.2% | 15.1% | 14.3% | 11.7% | 13.2% | 10.5% | 6.3% |
| Payton Canavan | 11.5% | 10.8% | 13.4% | 11.8% | 15.1% | 12.4% | 13.5% | 11.5% |
| Carlyn Blauvelt | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 11.9% | 18.9% | 32.7% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 9.7% | 10.7% | 10.3% | 14.2% | 12.6% | 15.5% | 14.2% | 12.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.