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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.08+2.06vs Predicted
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2Maine Maritime Academy0.27+3.99vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College2.81-0.84vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University1.18+0.54vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.19+1.66vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island1.91-2.70vs Predicted
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7Maine Maritime Academy0.79-1.78vs Predicted
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8Boston University0.80-2.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.06Tufts University2.080.2%1st Place
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5.99Maine Maritime Academy0.270.0%1st Place
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2.16Bowdoin College2.810.4%1st Place
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4.54Northeastern University1.180.1%1st Place
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6.66Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.190.0%1st Place
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3.3University of Rhode Island1.910.2%1st Place
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5.22Maine Maritime Academy0.790.1%1st Place
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5.06Boston University0.800.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryan Trammell | 18.9% | 24.3% | 19.6% | 17.6% | 11.4% | 6.0% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| Luke Healy | 3.4% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 8.1% | 10.3% | 17.7% | 25.3% | 25.4% |
| Thomas Hall | 40.2% | 26.6% | 18.1% | 9.3% | 3.9% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Carter Brock | 7.8% | 9.4% | 12.9% | 17.2% | 17.1% | 19.0% | 12.0% | 4.6% |
| Tucker Braun | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 12.7% | 21.1% | 46.2% |
| Henry Lee | 16.8% | 19.4% | 21.7% | 17.3% | 13.3% | 7.4% | 3.2% | 0.9% |
| Nalu Ho | 5.9% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 12.6% | 17.1% | 18.3% | 19.7% | 11.9% |
| Nicholas Hardy | 5.2% | 7.2% | 10.4% | 12.9% | 19.8% | 17.4% | 16.7% | 10.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.