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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.08+2.01vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College2.81+0.15vs Predicted
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3Maine Maritime Academy0.27+2.94vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University1.18+0.56vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island1.91-1.65vs Predicted
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6Boston University0.80-0.84vs Predicted
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7Maine Maritime Academy0.79-1.76vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.19-1.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.01Tufts University2.080.2%1st Place
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2.15Bowdoin College2.810.4%1st Place
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5.94Maine Maritime Academy0.270.0%1st Place
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4.56Northeastern University1.180.1%1st Place
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3.35University of Rhode Island1.910.2%1st Place
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5.16Boston University0.800.1%1st Place
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5.24Maine Maritime Academy0.790.1%1st Place
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6.59Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.190.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryan Trammell | 21.1% | 22.1% | 22.3% | 14.8% | 11.8% | 5.0% | 2.3% | 0.6% |
| Thomas Hall | 39.6% | 29.5% | 14.7% | 10.2% | 4.6% | 1.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Luke Healy | 3.2% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 9.2% | 10.9% | 15.2% | 24.4% | 26.1% |
| Carter Brock | 7.2% | 9.4% | 12.8% | 17.5% | 18.3% | 18.7% | 11.3% | 4.8% |
| Henry Lee | 16.3% | 18.7% | 21.9% | 16.1% | 14.7% | 8.5% | 3.3% | 0.5% |
| Nicholas Hardy | 5.2% | 6.2% | 10.2% | 13.5% | 16.2% | 20.0% | 16.5% | 12.2% |
| Nalu Ho | 5.5% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 14.3% | 15.2% | 17.2% | 19.3% | 13.6% |
| Tucker Braun | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 8.3% | 14.0% | 22.9% | 42.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.