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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College2.81+1.08vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University1.18+2.56vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.08+0.05vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island1.91-0.65vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.19+1.67vs Predicted
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6Maine Maritime Academy0.27-0.02vs Predicted
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7Boston University0.80-1.80vs Predicted
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8Maine Maritime Academy0.79-2.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.08Bowdoin College2.810.4%1st Place
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4.56Northeastern University1.180.1%1st Place
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3.05Tufts University2.080.2%1st Place
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3.35University of Rhode Island1.910.2%1st Place
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6.67Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.190.0%1st Place
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5.98Maine Maritime Academy0.270.0%1st Place
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5.2Boston University0.800.0%1st Place
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5.11Maine Maritime Academy0.790.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Hall | 42.2% | 28.7% | 15.3% | 9.1% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Carter Brock | 8.3% | 9.2% | 12.7% | 16.4% | 18.0% | 17.4% | 13.0% | 5.0% |
| Bryan Trammell | 19.0% | 22.7% | 22.6% | 17.2% | 10.0% | 6.0% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
| Henry Lee | 15.9% | 18.5% | 20.9% | 18.7% | 15.8% | 6.4% | 3.0% | 0.8% |
| Tucker Braun | 1.9% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 12.1% | 21.9% | 46.1% |
| Luke Healy | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 8.3% | 13.5% | 16.3% | 23.5% | 26.3% |
| Nicholas Hardy | 4.7% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 13.0% | 15.0% | 20.1% | 19.3% | 11.3% |
| Nalu Ho | 4.4% | 7.1% | 10.7% | 12.7% | 17.9% | 20.1% | 17.2% | 9.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.