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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University1.18+3.45vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College2.81+0.12vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.08+0.08vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island1.91-0.65vs Predicted
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5Maine Maritime Academy0.79+0.23vs Predicted
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6Boston University0.80-0.85vs Predicted
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7Maine Maritime Academy0.27-0.96vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.19-1.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.45Northeastern University1.180.1%1st Place
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2.12Bowdoin College2.810.4%1st Place
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3.08Tufts University2.080.2%1st Place
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3.35University of Rhode Island1.910.2%1st Place
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5.23Maine Maritime Academy0.790.0%1st Place
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5.15Boston University0.800.1%1st Place
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6.04Maine Maritime Academy0.270.0%1st Place
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6.57Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.190.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carter Brock | 8.2% | 10.9% | 14.7% | 15.8% | 16.9% | 16.2% | 12.6% | 4.7% |
| Thomas Hall | 41.3% | 27.1% | 17.2% | 8.9% | 3.8% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Bryan Trammell | 19.5% | 22.2% | 20.9% | 17.4% | 11.4% | 5.8% | 2.2% | 0.6% |
| Henry Lee | 15.7% | 20.6% | 20.1% | 17.7% | 13.8% | 7.6% | 3.5% | 1.0% |
| Nalu Ho | 4.9% | 5.3% | 9.2% | 14.1% | 17.1% | 19.2% | 19.0% | 11.2% |
| Nicholas Hardy | 5.3% | 6.6% | 9.3% | 14.2% | 17.0% | 18.1% | 17.8% | 11.7% |
| Luke Healy | 3.1% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 11.2% | 18.7% | 21.6% | 28.5% |
| Tucker Braun | 2.0% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 8.8% | 13.1% | 22.9% | 42.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.