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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College2.81+1.10vs Predicted
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2Maine Maritime Academy0.79+3.21vs Predicted
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3Maine Maritime Academy0.27+2.94vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.08-0.91vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island1.91-1.64vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.19+0.61vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University1.18-2.39vs Predicted
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8Boston University0.80-2.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.1Bowdoin College2.810.4%1st Place
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5.21Maine Maritime Academy0.790.1%1st Place
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5.94Maine Maritime Academy0.270.0%1st Place
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3.09Tufts University2.080.2%1st Place
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3.36University of Rhode Island1.910.2%1st Place
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6.61Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.190.0%1st Place
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4.61Northeastern University1.180.1%1st Place
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5.08Boston University0.800.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Hall | 41.8% | 29.4% | 14.7% | 8.3% | 3.7% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Nalu Ho | 5.0% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 11.2% | 16.7% | 21.4% | 19.4% | 10.5% |
| Luke Healy | 3.3% | 4.2% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 14.7% | 25.7% | 25.6% |
| Bryan Trammell | 19.3% | 20.4% | 22.9% | 18.2% | 11.1% | 5.5% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| Henry Lee | 15.9% | 18.4% | 21.6% | 18.1% | 14.7% | 7.3% | 3.1% | 0.9% |
| Tucker Braun | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 9.2% | 11.8% | 20.0% | 45.8% |
| Carter Brock | 8.7% | 8.6% | 12.6% | 16.6% | 17.0% | 16.4% | 13.1% | 7.0% |
| Nicholas Hardy | 4.1% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 14.0% | 17.1% | 21.5% | 15.8% | 9.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.