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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College2.81+1.07vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.08+1.07vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University1.18+1.54vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island1.91-0.64vs Predicted
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5Maine Maritime Academy0.27+1.01vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.19+0.62vs Predicted
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7Boston University0.80-1.77vs Predicted
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8Maine Maritime Academy0.79-2.90vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.07Bowdoin College2.810.4%1st Place
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3.07Tufts University2.080.2%1st Place
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4.54Northeastern University1.180.1%1st Place
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3.36University of Rhode Island1.910.2%1st Place
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6.01Maine Maritime Academy0.270.0%1st Place
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6.62Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.190.0%1st Place
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5.23Boston University0.800.1%1st Place
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5.1Maine Maritime Academy0.790.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Hall | 42.8% | 28.2% | 15.8% | 7.8% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Bryan Trammell | 18.9% | 22.5% | 21.0% | 18.6% | 10.1% | 7.0% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Carter Brock | 7.3% | 11.0% | 13.0% | 15.4% | 18.2% | 17.3% | 12.7% | 5.1% |
| Henry Lee | 16.0% | 17.4% | 20.8% | 21.4% | 13.9% | 6.5% | 3.0% | 1.0% |
| Luke Healy | 3.0% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 7.8% | 11.4% | 16.8% | 27.2% | 24.3% |
| Tucker Braun | 2.1% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 9.4% | 12.7% | 19.0% | 46.2% |
| Nicholas Hardy | 5.1% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 12.8% | 13.7% | 19.1% | 19.9% | 12.6% |
| Nalu Ho | 4.8% | 6.9% | 10.8% | 11.9% | 19.6% | 19.1% | 16.5% | 10.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.