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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College2.81+1.09vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.08+1.08vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island1.91+0.35vs Predicted
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4Boston University0.80+1.19vs Predicted
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5Maine Maritime Academy0.27+1.02vs Predicted
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6Maine Maritime Academy0.79-0.87vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University1.18-2.43vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.19-1.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.09Bowdoin College2.810.4%1st Place
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3.08Tufts University2.080.2%1st Place
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3.35University of Rhode Island1.910.2%1st Place
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5.19Boston University0.800.0%1st Place
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6.02Maine Maritime Academy0.270.0%1st Place
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5.13Maine Maritime Academy0.790.1%1st Place
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4.57Northeastern University1.180.1%1st Place
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6.57Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.190.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Hall | 41.2% | 29.1% | 16.1% | 8.5% | 3.6% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Bryan Trammell | 19.7% | 20.7% | 23.3% | 15.6% | 11.8% | 6.9% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Henry Lee | 16.0% | 18.9% | 21.8% | 17.4% | 13.7% | 8.2% | 3.4% | 0.6% |
| Nicholas Hardy | 4.7% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 13.5% | 15.9% | 18.7% | 17.5% | 12.9% |
| Luke Healy | 3.5% | 3.2% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 11.4% | 17.7% | 24.1% | 26.5% |
| Nalu Ho | 5.8% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 16.3% | 17.3% | 16.2% | 18.4% | 11.5% |
| Carter Brock | 7.6% | 11.0% | 10.9% | 16.6% | 18.9% | 17.2% | 12.3% | 5.5% |
| Tucker Braun | 1.5% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 7.4% | 13.9% | 22.3% | 42.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.