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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University1.70+2.89vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida0.45+4.81vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University1.58+0.88vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University0.70+1.87vs Predicted
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5Palm Beach Atlantic University0.36+1.87vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida1.60-2.16vs Predicted
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7Eckerd College0.44-0.20vs Predicted
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8Eckerd College0.85-2.28vs Predicted
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9University of Florida-0.86+2.41vs Predicted
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10Embry-Riddle University-0.27-1.16vs Predicted
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11Florida State University-2.05+1.60vs Predicted
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12University of Central Florida-0.20-2.85vs Predicted
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13University of South Florida0.01-4.81vs Predicted
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14Florida Institute of Technology-1.26-2.86vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.89Jacksonville University1.7018.6%1st Place
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6.81University of South Florida0.456.3%1st Place
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3.88Jacksonville University1.5818.4%1st Place
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5.87Jacksonville University0.708.1%1st Place
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6.87Palm Beach Atlantic University0.365.7%1st Place
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3.84University of South Florida1.6018.2%1st Place
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6.8Eckerd College0.446.1%1st Place
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5.72Eckerd College0.858.8%1st Place
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11.41University of Florida-0.861.0%1st Place
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8.84Embry-Riddle University-0.272.5%1st Place
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12.6Florida State University-2.050.1%1st Place
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9.15University of Central Florida-0.202.2%1st Place
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8.19University of South Florida0.013.0%1st Place
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11.14Florida Institute of Technology-1.261.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Igoe | 18.6% | 16.1% | 15.3% | 13.4% | 12.2% | 9.3% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sara Menesale | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 12.1% | 10.7% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 3.9% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Cole Schweda | 18.4% | 18.1% | 14.1% | 13.7% | 10.7% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Fiona Froelich | 8.1% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 10.9% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Dawson Kohl | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 11.1% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Kay Brunsvold | 18.2% | 16.9% | 16.3% | 12.8% | 11.8% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Carter Morin | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 11.5% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 7.5% | 4.2% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Pj Rodrigues | 8.8% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 11.1% | 10.5% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Ava Moring | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 9.6% | 16.7% | 27.0% | 21.4% |
| Mason Howell | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 11.0% | 12.2% | 14.0% | 12.7% | 8.8% | 2.5% |
| Patrick Parker | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 6.3% | 11.3% | 19.4% | 50.4% |
| Charlie Eckert | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 10.1% | 12.4% | 15.0% | 13.2% | 10.2% | 4.0% |
| Blake March | 3.0% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 11.7% | 12.6% | 11.2% | 5.0% | 1.1% |
| William Meade | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 16.5% | 23.9% | 19.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.