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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College2.81+1.08vs Predicted
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2Maine Maritime Academy0.27+4.01vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.08+0.06vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island1.91-0.65vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University1.18-0.46vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.19+0.60vs Predicted
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7Maine Maritime Academy0.79-1.74vs Predicted
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8Boston University0.80-2.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.08Bowdoin College2.810.4%1st Place
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6.01Maine Maritime Academy0.270.0%1st Place
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3.06Tufts University2.080.2%1st Place
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3.35University of Rhode Island1.910.2%1st Place
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4.54Northeastern University1.180.1%1st Place
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6.6Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.190.0%1st Place
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5.26Maine Maritime Academy0.790.1%1st Place
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5.11Boston University0.800.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Hall | 43.5% | 27.2% | 14.9% | 8.7% | 4.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Luke Healy | 3.1% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 8.4% | 10.4% | 15.3% | 28.5% | 24.5% |
| Bryan Trammell | 19.1% | 22.2% | 21.8% | 18.0% | 11.5% | 5.0% | 1.6% | 0.8% |
| Henry Lee | 15.9% | 18.9% | 21.7% | 17.3% | 14.2% | 8.8% | 2.3% | 0.9% |
| Carter Brock | 7.4% | 9.6% | 14.1% | 15.9% | 18.5% | 17.4% | 12.2% | 4.9% |
| Tucker Braun | 1.8% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 9.7% | 13.6% | 18.6% | 45.5% |
| Nalu Ho | 5.0% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 12.2% | 15.3% | 18.4% | 19.6% | 13.3% |
| Nicholas Hardy | 4.2% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 15.6% | 16.0% | 20.5% | 17.0% | 10.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.